Welcome New Members! We want to hear from you. Register, stop lurking and start posting!

Search found 5009 matches

by hillybilly
Mon Feb 23, 2015 1:57 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

1.4mm back home. First band died on our door step, then a little cell dived south of us, then split the main band with bits passing north and south :( Maybe the next bit will dive south. Here's a photo as it came through the city - great visually - but mainly light/moderate rain. https://fbcdn-sphot...
by hillybilly
Mon Feb 23, 2015 6:10 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Uncomfortable night up here... 23C for a minimum. Now waiting on the front.... Had enough of summer now. Couple of showery bands... First dropping a couple of mm's in spots. Interesting storms already firing out west with a big cell to the west of the Otways. Not sure what to expect here... Could be...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 22, 2015 8:01 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Got gusty cooler southeasterly winds here which I suspect is outflow from the storms that were to our east. These easterlies are then converging with the weak sw'ly change which is feeding the storms to the southwest. The convergence is really firing up... Interesting to watch how far east the SWly ...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 22, 2015 5:32 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Got constant rumbles here from the cell in the northeastern burbs. Slowing edging in, but entering the radar hole (the spot due east of the city). Those storms our east are huge must be very nasty.
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 22, 2015 3:20 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Pretty severe storms around The Laverton Werribee area, As usual nothing near here and I dont expect anything again like yesterday. Today's storm will be different. We have a front approaching which should hold out the sea breeze for longer. Also more humid today. That said, the storms are pretty i...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 22, 2015 5:42 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

About three spots up here from those cells. That's three more than I was expecting :P Hot one 33C which is about 38C at sea level. Was bricking and felt like 133C in the sun during the arvo :? Today more or less looks like a repeat. Bit of instability in the mid levels. Yesterday's storms seemed to ...
by hillybilly
Thu Feb 19, 2015 2:26 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Any more word on storms this arvo.? ACCESS-C and EC are marginal - isolated showers in eastern areas. GFS pretty much says nope. Trough looks too far east for most of central areas with southerlies extending east. Is unstable and lots of humidity, but the southerly is going to cap convection. A cha...
by hillybilly
Thu Feb 19, 2015 5:52 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Woken by heavy rain here... And a very colourful radar. About 4mm in quick time. Looks like it's about to start up again shortly.

Foggy morning... Makes 13 fog days for the month :o

EC and ACCESS keen on a thundery afternoon :D
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 18, 2015 5:58 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Rain moving in from the north east Odd situation - models missed this even at short range, though morning update of ACCESS-C picked it up. Little upper low and surface trough moving southwest. ACCESS-C has locally heavy falls into central areas tonight. EC kinda had something but out with its timin...
by hillybilly
Tue Feb 17, 2015 7:24 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Foggy with a bit of drizzle last night in Ferny Creek with 0.4mm in the gauge. Another humid one today (and indeed every day for the next week) with warm/hot conditions in the north/east and cooler in the south/west. Expecting the northeast to light up on the radar next few days with a trough hardly...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 15, 2015 7:18 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Sweaty 27.7C here today. Foggy start and sunny humid end. Thinking the southeasterly will act as a storm shield here, but happy to be proved wrong. Quite surprised to see intense storms, but not surprised there is convection. Scorcher out west with decent humidity providing the fuel. Progs continue ...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 15, 2015 6:45 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Foggy and humid night up here... Loving this humid weather ;) Not seeing much today. Hot uppers cap convection, while more easterly flow takes the edge of temperatures at the surface except out west which will be HOT. Scorching temperatures west of Vic yesterday. Low to mid 40s for most spots west o...
by hillybilly
Sat Feb 14, 2015 7:15 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

47.9mm for the event (though more humid days to come so might add some more). Lots of washouts around the hills as happens with decent falls. MTD is a healthy 50mm... Though our average is about 70mm so not quite there yet. Hopefully that's the end of our fire season here... Would be pretty unusual ...
by hillybilly
Sat Feb 14, 2015 6:23 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Cats and dogs, Puppy's and kittens here Same here. Even a couple of rumbles and fog to add to the atmospherics :D Just passed 35mm for the event. If the train of showers keeps up over us we'll crack 50mm by 9am... though it is edging south and might slip under us. Spots just south of here must be a...
by hillybilly
Fri Feb 13, 2015 9:39 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

25 to 30mm across Ferny Creek, and still coming down nicely. Tanks are full and we are now half way to the monthly average after a month of almost zilch ;) Thinking we could well see about 50mm by am tomorrow. Developing again out west with some cells in the radar hole, so more to come. Places just ...
by hillybilly
Fri Feb 13, 2015 8:09 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Just on 20mm here. Very happy with that for starters :P All models keeps showers and storms through the night, then a weak low pass through Bass Strait in the morning clearing things. Could be plenty more to come... Both ACCESS and GFS have the heavier most widespread rain overnight. Should see a de...
by hillybilly
Fri Feb 13, 2015 7:21 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

anyone in the south east see this wall cloud moving in? Very green and dark. Just went into it. Cloud ahead of it was moving east to west, cloud then change to west to east :o Black as night out here now with frequent rumbles. The most dramatic sky I've seen here in years. Now just waiting for it t...
by hillybilly
Fri Feb 13, 2015 5:39 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Radar looks great IMHO and GFS and ACCESS bring substantial falls across central areas next 12-24 hours. Can't see this one not delivering for us :D Across the models - seeing about 30mm in Ferny Creek by morning ;) Picked up the edge of a couple of cells - bout 4mm back home. 6mm 2km's to our east ...
by hillybilly
Thu Feb 12, 2015 6:11 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Forgive me if I get a little bit excited with the forecast for the next 3 days! Me too. Been a long dry time between "drinks" for us. No really scorching days, but lots of warm/hot ones. Got a little drizzle this morning and fog, again showing how humid this system is. Meanwhile, couple o...
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 11, 2015 12:56 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Warm to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards
Replies: 272
Views: 104201

Re: Warn to hot and unstable: Feb 6 onwards

Just gone past 30C here with a DP of 19C. That's about 36 or 37C sea level equivalent. Dead calm... nice beach day if only we had one :P Waiting for this hot humid pattern to break down. Things are uncomfortably dry up here now with next to no rain for a month. Moderately hopeful that Fri/Sat and Su...