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2017 Possible upcoming weather events

All general weather related discussion & questions, including model discussions, longer-term outlooks & anything non-breaking weather.
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JasmineStorm
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Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

Post by JasmineStorm »

June 17th to June 20th - One to keep an eye on. The sub tropical jet moves north and the polar jet moves up.

All the big models are starting to line up for a polar vortex pulse into SE Oz that spawns into a mid latitude cold core cyclone (probably an East Coast Low). EC controls think snow near Melbourne around June 19th :) A long way out of course but there is at least something brewing.
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JasmineStorm
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Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

Post by JasmineStorm »

New GFS and the EC ensemble is locking in winter from next Monday July 3rd for a few weeks. It took a bunch of fronts but finally that ridge is weakened.
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Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

Post by JasmineStorm »

If you like volcanic angry anvils, EC keeps dishing up a buffet of them on Dec 18 and 19. One to keep an eye on ;)
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JasmineStorm
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Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

Post by JasmineStorm »

EC currently thinks an epic Victorian super cell outbreak Dec 29 and 30. Two warm core tropcial cyclones feeding the atmospheric river on this one. GFS currently has a Landphoon around the same time attacking with 120 to 130 km/h NW gusts.

EC did pretty well on the last one 8 days out ;)
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Skywalker
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Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

Post by Skywalker »

Interesting timing as I'm travelling back to the western suburbs around then. Will keep a close eye on this one.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Keep that as an @home date.
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Didjman
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Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

Post by Didjman »

Latest on BSC Stormcast (GFS model) looking awesome for Fri arvo. I know its still a long way out :D

http://stormcast.com.au/stormcast.html? ... :null:0#sc - Cape

http://stormcast.com.au/stormcast.html? ... :null:0#sc - LI

Peter
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