Victoria: Thundery then a major rain event - 28th Nov to 4th Dec 2017

[Sean]

Is that it for Melbourne or is something supposed to be forming later?

[tonycynic]

37mm for the event so far. No damage but there was a little hail in some of the stuff we got. Looking forward to see what tonight and tomorrow bring. Still 19c here.

[stevco123]

46mm in the manual gauge, which is what matches the Melbourne Water site nearby.

[typhoon29]

hasn't 'rained' here since 1pm. Been dry and gloomy with WSW winds and quite cool. I see Ballarat's forecast as backed right off. Only up to 15mm for tomorrow now! 10mm from last night and 15mm from today so 25mm.....75mm short of what the media predicted; doom and gloom! NEXT

[mick]

Drizzle here in sth gippy since abt 11am, got 5mm in a 20 litre bucket so cheating a bit but every drop is welcome.

[mick]

Another flooded garage here in Croydon. The rain has been on and off all day but that last torrential downpour about an hr ago with thunder and a little bit of tiny hail in it has caused the issue. Hate to think what it’s goibg to look like this time tomorrow!

I think thats about the first report of hail, well done.

[WeatherViewer]

A non significant event for most of Melbourne so far. I hope it picks up later... Feeling very doubtful though.

Almost 17mm here in Tarneit.

[stevco123]

If ballarat is going fur 15mm tomorrow and Melbourne 20 to 60, we must be right on the edge of it all.

Will wait and see.

[StratoBendigo]

BOM now only reckons 15-45mm here tomorrow. Yawn.

[Horts]

I was thinking the same thing Stevco, backed up by the BoM’s updated severe weather warning map. Melbourne and the eastern suburbs are right on the border, anything to the west can basically forget it!

[Wodongafella]

Really not much doing up here on the border apart from low cloud and light drizzle. Can we expect anything over night?

[StratoBendigo]

Latest forecast charts say it's virtually all over for Western half of State.

Incredible amount of events have been unnecessarily cancelled. And it's not even raining in many of these places. Silly nanny state.

[jimmyay]

12mm at Moorabbin. I was promised fireworks

[Sean]

Big rainfall downgrades at BOM. Melbourne currently sitting on 10mm.

Some sites have done well, but still a bigger flop than an impotent donkey.

'Unprecedented' I think not, lol. Usual places scored the usual one-in-a-while drop (north east, cranbourne way, etc)

[93ben]

It's funny how people say why hasn't the BOM picked up on it and now you're wondering why they said things like it's a 10 out of 10 severe storm. Seriously make up your minds people! You were all here concerned about the models, then kept saying nothing will happen, ect. But in the end there's still heaps of areas around Melbourne and within Victoria that have flooded from this system so far. Today I spent the rest of my day filling up sandbags at work. Just because nothing has happened in your area, doesn't mean it won't happen somewhere else. Just watch the news and you'll see there has been flooding in Melbourne such as Preston, Coburg, Roesbud, ect. This system mainly focused on the Eastern side of Melbourne.

[Tassiedave]

Is Tropical Cyclone Dahlia having any influence over this event?

[Sean]

It's funny how people say why hasn't the BOM picked up on it and now you're wondering why they said things like it's a 10 out of 10 severe storm. Seriously make up your minds people! You were all here concerned about the models, kept saying nothing will happen, ect. But in the end there's still heaps of areas around Melbourne and within Victoria that have flooded from this system so far. Today I spent the rest of my day filling up sandbags at work. Just because nothing has happened in your area, doesn't mean it won't happen somewhere else. Just watch the news and you'll see there has been flooding in Melbourne such as Preston, Coburg, Roesbud, ect. This system mainly focused on the Eastern side of Melbourne.

That's not in debate, it's the scale at which this event was hyped. It's just not good forecasting at all. There was talk of 150mm in Melbourne the day before. Given many parts of Melbourne flood with a dump of 20mm, there's also nothing unprecedented.

I'm not overly disappointed funnily enough, as I knew it would most likely be a little more lowkey than anticipated (Hillybilly called it way early on). I don't even blame the BOM, there were so many variables that had to fall into place at the right time.

[Horts]

No BoM bashing from me, as said above they’re in between a rock and a hard place. They either don’t get on board and the general public get caught out and we bash them, or they do jump on board and people flog them for over hyping. I’d much rather them plan for worse case scenario and it not eventuating than the alternative.

[jimmyay]

True but stating 10 out of 10 severity, cancelling lots of events and talk of 150mm widespread and 300mm in some areas got a lot of attention. Absolutely dire warnings of threat to life and property. There will be an enquiry about why it was a fizzer as most model watchers here also thought the same until the last minute downgrades. I guess there is still time but it feels like the tropical air has cleared out - I may be wrong.

[stevco123]

The impact from this is severe.

Many millions of dollars lost in productivity.