Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.
Forum rules
When posting photos, particularly in active breaking weather threads, please link to clickable photos to minimise download issues. For more information, see Posting Photo Guidelines for more information. Threads that are six weeks old or older will be Archived Here
Blackee wrote: ↑Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:03 pm
Relentless rain in these parts. Passing through 90mm since this all started mid-morning yesterday. MTD already 140mm.
Was woken by loud thunder around 4am and torrential downpours with RR peaking at 158 mm/hr. It was disturbing to say the least
Getting seriously wet in many areas of Vic now, perhaps we will have all dams in Vic/NSW full within a fortnight? This is shaping to be a huge flood year for E Aus from the runes I've seen cast.
Thundery rain set in here mid arvo, has taken me to 32.25mm for this thread. Noticed the low formed as a meso virtually over Metung mid arvo, is now skating E along the Gippsland coast towards Orbost and broadening as it goes (thankfully - tree-wise, as I'm at the early stages of cutting up a huge river red that fell here last week).
We've gone from westerly to southerly to SE'ly rain this arvo, making the cattle herd in 3 of the 4 corners of the paddock I was working at today.
Another 18.5mm here today. Constantly changing from drizzle/light rain/heavy rain all day before clearing at dinner time.
74mm for the thread.
The next 7 days looks relatively sedate for Vic, although the troughy synoptic pattern continues with the highs stubbornly remaining to the south of the continent.
Had 65mm for the event, thankfully then stopped, water was laying in more places than I wanted but like other times it will clear.
Had the fun of no NBN for most of the day so was unable to see what was happening from late morning till short time ago.
Persistent overnight drizzle tallied another 10.75mm to take us to 43mm for this event, has returned to a light occasionally drizzly easterly morning here - which I was expecting to be SW'ly in the wake of the departing low.
Macalister and Thompson rivers have returned to minor flood level again, the 3rd time since October. These catchments are saturated. If the currently 192hr GFS progs come to play, then Gippsland will have its turn at disastrous floods.
The fog has lifted but it's still cloudy and humid here after buckets of rain the past 2 days.
A wet summer so far in Vic. And with a predominantly southerly and easterly focus, temps have been fairly moderate too. The highest temp so far is 31c here, which was way back near the start of December.
Interesting, another possible rain event next week according to some models. But it's still a little way out.
Picked up 0.2mm of mizzle so ended on just shy of 14mm. Freshened things up, but still looks dry. Bit better for central parts of TAS, but still most areas are dry.
Hopefully the next event is more focussed on TAS, and less so Victoria.
Bit hard to pick the next event with quite a spread across models and jumps. Clear that there is a big reorganization happening with the monsoon kicking in, and heat building in the south.
