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by Petros
Fri Jan 19, 2024 6:48 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

8mm for this event here. All erased by 2 days of very strong SW'ly wind. Looks like 2 weeks off here rainwise, but it wont by summer heat either from what I can see coming.
by Petros
Fri Jan 12, 2024 1:02 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

If a low develops, should focus over/near Tassie, yep, something has to cool the SST anomaly in Bass Straight:

Image

.....I wonder how the above chart would look if they did the honest thing and update the anomaly dataset from 1981-2010 to 1993-2023?
by Petros
Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:14 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Persistent overnight drizzle tallied another 10.75mm to take us to 43mm for this event, has returned to a light occasionally drizzly easterly morning here - which I was expecting to be SW'ly in the wake of the departing low. Macalister and Thompson rivers have returned to minor flood level again, th...
by Petros
Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:02 am
Forum: Forum News, Information & Updates
Topic: UPDATE: Reactions & Sharing Media
Replies: 4
Views: 16545

Re: UPDATE: Reactions & Sharing Media

Thanks for that Ben, but for me the minor issue is with which page of a multi page thread you are currently sifting through: https://i.imgur.com/JSPpGhh.png In the above I'm on P3 but hard to know it. I notice that as you scroll the pages, the backlighted block around the current page number changes...
by Petros
Mon Jan 08, 2024 5:47 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Relentless rain in these parts. Passing through 90mm since this all started mid-morning yesterday. MTD already 140mm. Was woken by loud thunder around 4am and torrential downpours with RR peaking at 158 mm/hr. It was disturbing to say the least :o Getting seriously wet in many areas of Vic now, per...
by Petros
Mon Jan 08, 2024 12:25 pm
Forum: Forum News, Information & Updates
Topic: UPDATE: Reactions & Sharing Media
Replies: 4
Views: 16545

Re: UPDATE: Reactions & Sharing Media

New look seems good Ben. For multipage threads, do you reckon you can invent a way to show the reader which page is currently being viewed?
by Petros
Mon Jan 08, 2024 12:21 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Its been a waiting game here in Nth Central Gippsland, in a rain lull this morning however tallied 10.5mm in overnight drizzle patches - 15.5mm for this event so far. Albiet EC is predicting heavy rain to set in here from basically now onwards. Agree with HB re weak el nino/impact winter-spring/less...
by Petros
Sun Jan 07, 2024 5:38 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Please keep comments respectful in the forum. BOM bashing is not cool. Please also be mindful that some of our significant contributing members are closely connected to the Bureau and deserve respect. Thanks Admin Team Got to stay polite for sure. But Karl would be having conniptions if he thought ...
by Petros
Sat Jan 06, 2024 10:18 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Plenty of water vapour pouring down from the NW, with most models in agreement of handy rainfall/storms to arrive over Vic Sunday evening through Monday:

Image
by Petros
Fri Jan 05, 2024 11:44 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

The reforming easterly dip scenario appears to deliver again:

Image

Its going to be a wet 2024 (and probably a decade or two onwards, going by the solar trends).
by Petros
Fri Jan 05, 2024 11:39 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January
Replies: 54
Views: 5125

Re: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January

Overnight rain on Wed night added 19.5mm, so near an inch here for this thread.
by Petros
Wed Jan 03, 2024 10:06 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January
Replies: 54
Views: 5125

Re: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January

The decaying storm system spilled down from the mountains last evening with a few distant rumbles and flashes, settled into a period of light rain which delivered 4.5mm.

Will see if the trough heads east back over us this arvo, warm calm humid cloudy here atm.
by Petros
Thu Dec 28, 2023 6:36 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Just arrived home after ten days o/s. Missed all of the action here. Just emptied 133mm out of the gauge. YTD is now 1097mm. So very happy. Only one day out of the ten we were away managed to squeak above 20°. A good long period of cool weather. No days above 30° over ten months now. Love it. The C...
by Petros
Thu Dec 28, 2023 10:00 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Some heavy SSE'ly showers pushed us 32mm here for this event yesterday afternoon (possibly the lowest tally in Central Gippsland luckily). Campers and water skiers at Lake Glenmaggie will be having a ball due to the better exposed beaches resulting from lowering its level by 1 metre due to the threa...
by Petros
Tue Dec 26, 2023 7:47 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

A storm embedded ENE'ly rain band passed over us over past 90 mins, 11mm from that, takes me to 25.5mm for this thread, will be interesting to see if we "catch up" when the low gets closer to Merimbula and the inflow bands turn to the more favourable SE'ly direction. Not that any farmer is...
by Petros
Tue Dec 26, 2023 10:32 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Sale now up to 84mm, most of which has been since 5am. That would be causing some decent flash flooding. You getting any of that in Maffra Petros? Seen photos of flooded roads in the Maffra side estates just now. Sale was in the storm alley, Maffra had 2 storms over 45 minute period 4.30am for a to...
by Petros
Mon Dec 25, 2023 9:52 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Nothing to report out this way except persistent fresh easterly breeze and partly overcast. Rain predictions for here have backed off for most models except BOM's which predicts 90mm by Thursday here.
by Petros
Sun Dec 24, 2023 2:57 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Southern Rural Water have started releasing water at a rate just under minor flood level, probably to create a 10% buffer. For Maffra, the average of the four models on WZ for this event have gone 93 - 66 - 72mm over the past 3 days. There is certain to be at least moderate flooding in some Vic regi...
by Petros
Sat Dec 16, 2023 9:51 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7505

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

36mm here from 4 storms in 18 hours last Wed/Wed night. Sodden here.
by Petros
Tue Dec 12, 2023 3:34 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7505

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Arrived back from a week up the coast yesterday to find 28mm in the gauge over past 7 days, mostly over the weekend and from a noisy overnight storm Sunday night from what I hear. The moisture over E Vic looks extremely high going by the current water vapour sat image. Its extremely humid here, no s...