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by Gordon
Fri May 31, 2024 9:11 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Strong front and low: May 30-
Replies: 27
Views: 1061

Strong front and low: May 30-

17.5mm here, so we finish the month on 28mm (vs 77mm average). YTD of 202mm is exactly 100mm below average.

Nice to see some good falls in the 80-100mm range in the north-east.
by Gordon
Thu May 30, 2024 6:59 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Strong front and low: May 30-
Replies: 27
Views: 1061

Strong front and low: May 30-

Up to 15mm here, better than expected and will make our May total somewhat less pathetic! Maybe a bit more to come.

The ECL could offer us a significant start to June, which would be a nice follow-up.
by Gordon
Thu May 30, 2024 2:42 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Strong front and low: May 30-
Replies: 27
Views: 1061

Strong front and low: May 30-

Light to occasionally moderate rain here for the last hour or so. Early days, but pleasantly surprised (so far) how much is making it over the Divide.
by Gordon
Thu May 30, 2024 10:07 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Strong front and low: May 30-
Replies: 27
Views: 1061

Strong front and low: May 30-

Exquisite timing for the Rainbow radar to be down :( .
by Gordon
Tue May 28, 2024 10:33 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Strong front and low: May 30-
Replies: 27
Views: 1061

Strong front and low: May 30-

Looks like a very widespread event - rain for most. ABC are excited https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-28/weather-first-cloudband-brings-rain-80-per-cent-australia/103898042 Looks a bit rain-shadowy (is that a word :)) for us, but still good for 10mm or so. Strato, I think you might do better than ...
by Gordon
Sat May 25, 2024 10:13 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another huge high with days of southerlies: May 15-
Replies: 21
Views: 924

Another huge high with days of southerlies: May 15-

Something might happen around May 30th with a NW rainband perhaps? Yep, feels like something wants to give around the end of the week. Models bouncing around all over the place, but at least most now have half decent totals... most of the time. Meanwhile, at Mt Read in western Tassie, another 18mm ...
by Gordon
Tue May 14, 2024 7:56 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12
Replies: 29
Views: 1004

Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12

Slightly off topic while we wait for something interesting to happen with the mainland weather... The latest climate driver update makes interesting reading http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/ . BOM have upgraded to La Nina watch, while the threat of a positive IOD (my least favourite driver) has ba...
by Gordon
Sat May 11, 2024 11:11 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12
Replies: 29
Views: 1004

Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12

Unlucky by a few kms for both parts of this event, finishing on 4.5mm. Great to see all those big falls though; something from nothing, so in many ways 'bonus' rain. Btw Nino 3.4 just tipped into negative. That’s really early and you need to take bout 0.5 off it because of global warming to make it ...
by Gordon
Fri May 10, 2024 9:52 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12
Replies: 29
Views: 1004

Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12

Blackee wrote: Fri May 10, 2024 8:16 am Finally some weather to post about. Constant Tain on the old tin roof started about midnight and continues in heavy to moderate spurts. 22mm here so far and very welcome.
Is that at Mansfield Blackee?
by Gordon
Thu May 09, 2024 9:06 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12
Replies: 29
Views: 1004

Slow moving easterly trough: May 9-12

Had our first short but quite heavy shower earlier. Bizarre experiencing almost stormy weather with the barometer at 1032 hPa :? (I'm weather-confused a lot these days.)
by Gordon
Tue May 07, 2024 11:59 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another big slow moving high: April 27-
Replies: 18
Views: 1160

Another big slow moving high: April 27-

Not sure about others but i am struggling to remember such persistent highs for weeks on end. Feels like the start to an El Niño drought but we are meant to be seeing a La Niña :? I get it, and agree re persistent highs. After decades of thinking I understood climate drivers and climate forecasts t...
by Gordon
Mon May 06, 2024 10:43 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another big slow moving high: April 27-
Replies: 18
Views: 1160

Another big slow moving high: April 27-

An unexpected 1mm from drizzly showers last night.

Fine again now, but perhaps a sniff of something from a trough dipping south over Vic at the end of the week?
by Gordon
Tue Apr 30, 2024 9:23 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another big slow moving high: April 27-
Replies: 18
Views: 1160

Another big slow moving high: April 27-

Cold and quite damp April here, maximums 1.5C below average, but lack of sun probably made it feel colder. 82.5mm of rain versus 57mm average. YTD of 174.5mm is however below our 28 year average of 222mm.
by Gordon
Wed Apr 24, 2024 7:43 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: April 23-25: stronger front and possible low
Replies: 9
Views: 892

April 23-25: stronger front and possible low

After a mild Tuesday, a much stronger front than I expected. Punched through last night with a big temperature drop and powerful winds. A few branches down, 12mm of rain and now 5C.

81.5mm mtd is way above our 60mm average for April.
by Gordon
Wed Apr 17, 2024 10:54 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another spell of high pressure: April 13-
Replies: 9
Views: 940

Another spell of high pressure: April 13-

2mm overnight here to add to 1mm a few days earlier. Hardly spectacular, but with cool temps and little wind, keeps things green and growing, which is a pleasant change from March!

64.5mm mtd.
by Gordon
Tue Apr 09, 2024 7:52 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: ECL and cold fronts 5 April - 12 April
Replies: 23
Views: 1590

ECL and cold fronts 5 April - 12 April

We largely missed out on the ECL part of this system, with only 2mm. But a better result with the cold front, bringing 10mm - quite a bit more than the 1-5mm forecast. I do like it when forecast rain totals are underestimated :). Hope it's a sign of a shift back to wetter conditions. (Nice to see a ...
by Gordon
Thu Apr 04, 2024 9:10 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: ECL and cold fronts 5 April - 12 April
Replies: 23
Views: 1590

ECL and cold fronts 5 April - 12 April

Looks like at least a week of cool and damp weather for most of Vic, starting tomorrow with rain barely creeping over the border, but becoming more widespread and significant over the weekend as the low centre nears far East Gippsland. Then a cold front on Monday sets up the remainder of the week fo...
by Gordon
Thu Apr 04, 2024 7:23 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5
Replies: 60
Views: 2550

Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5

Another 5mm here from showers. Certainly does seem like summer straight to winter, and dust to mud :).

Worth a new thread for the likely ECL etc?
by Gordon
Tue Apr 02, 2024 10:06 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5
Replies: 60
Views: 2550

Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5

hillybilly wrote: Tue Apr 02, 2024 7:27 am Not so great for southern Tasmania. Progs basically picked this. Had just 6mm here so far. Freshens things up, but not enough so far.
Radar looking a bit better for you now I hope hillybilly? Although I always find it bloody hard to tell in Tassie with the topographical detail :?
by Gordon
Tue Apr 02, 2024 8:30 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5
Replies: 60
Views: 2550

Slow moving low with rain and storms: April 1-5

45mm here. Amazing how widespread decent (25mm plus) totals are through a large swathe of VIctoria. Great system!