The Australian Weather Forum

Where rain now

A big fizzer here. We might be lucky to even get 5mm this weekend. Yet again the forecast models fail miserably. So much for the 20-40mm they were predicting just 2 days ago. I been stormchaser for 30 years is Bendigo is loophole always miss something and most of time Bendigo get hard hit storms at...

Very fast Wind shear and line thunderstorms firing up between East Mildura to Portland are moving Eastwards.

Damage winds are likey and looks stalling or eastward slowly.

Hard say sea breeze and or thunder cirrus clouds kill everything to east cool down.

I think the BOM storm forecast is very oversimplified for today. No real surprises there, just more of the same "all eggs in one basket" rubbish that we come to expect from the BOM. Going to be very much a hit & miss couple of days coming up. Been watching that cell down towards Wonth...

New Year Eve Morning Glory Clouds 3 in a row at 9.42pm
Looking North from Bendigo.

My rainfall recording of 2020 is well over average year for Kangaroo Flat South

Year Average 550.1mm

724.6mm rain dumped in 2020.

Wettest Month is April of 218.5mm

Today the trough axle will move Westward slowly as might be tricky think West get nothing yet.

Felt cooler summer and some colder night below 10c , thats ok save power bills only used 4 days of air conditioning this December.

Hope SE Victoria have nice rain and storms all way through New Year and the trough sits far West Victoria thats helps not dry out in West part.

Had 8mm and felt Today is September.

Radar likey burnout over divided ranges.

We can say is big wet and say too much rain on New Years Eve, too early yet if Chart accurate .

We having less hot days this year is Solar minimum and La Niña.

From 30c over my Kangaroo Flat VIC record.

2019

Oct, 2 days
Nov, 6 days
Dec, 17 days

2020

Oct, 0
Nov, 9
Dec, 4

Really very wet for SW to across Melbourne.

I thought the moist might start shift from West to N/NE ward across Northern Country.

So wait n see

Yes I did ..........same Melbourne too link

Can see from Bendigo

Yep only 3mm from upper low and 3mm from dust rain for South Kangaroo Flat and Total for January is 25mm better than 2019 of 6mm

Feels like cold head this morning of 7.4c.

Heatwave is looming next weekend , hard say how many days.

Next system Friday 10th will be Quick short cold weather

Had quick HEAVY RAIN 1Mm with big mess of winds then dust is gone, but very confusing its trough as change in SW Victoria can see new line thunderstorms

Everyone wants cool change and New year summer be horrible until April 2020

Too much Virga storms cells and have to lucky if little micro burst might help

Asked Friend in Birchip at 12.15pm is very gusty winds now

Strange no Gusty winds as trough moving in West quickly as expected good thing

Now at 11.45am is 33c thanks to thin line upper clouds in central Victoria..

Had 41.9c November 21st and December 9th 39.9c ....

Big shocker Tues 38c, Wed 42c Thurs 43c, Friday 45c...

Would surprise me if Power plants cant handle 98% Australia Heatwave

Not very good no rain Today of 17.7c, so under average October of 11.5mm. Northern Country will turn to desert to divided ranges fast from now on as heatwave looms. Queensland needs heavy monsoon bring humid to Victoria get good thundery rain.. We dont know if our SAM will be more Easterly or NW tra...