The Australian Weather Forum

Well, 45mm today. We've had an incredible 138mm since Christmas Eve. It certainly keeps the lawns green and the plants happy.

Next Monday, yeah...

It's worth checking in on Shepparton. 63mm since 4:40pm...

Hooley Dooley. We didn't get the hail, but 43mm this far.

Mad storms. Lots of flash flooding around.

A bit of an upgrade in this evening's forecast models. Tomorrow afternoon looks like it could be quite volatile. LI of -6 and CAPE of 1200 according to GFS... Decent.

Well, there's some interesting rainfall totals in the 00Z forecast models for Vic next week. Looks like it'll keep things damp for a while...

Wednesday next week is starting to look rather interesting. Hard to say yet, but 20-40mm might be what kicks off 2024...

93mm was our event total in the end. Spectacular really.

Bendigo airport official rain total for 2023 now stands at 523mm. Just below average but the last three months have been above average. Extraordinary for an El-Nino year.

Over 80mm for the event. A remarkable system.

Thankfully the creeks and rivers have peaked. The Avoca River at Logan managed to get to minor flood level, and flash flooding has subsided at Wedderburn.

Flooding around St Arnaud and Wedderburn today. Calder Hwy shut at the latter with many homes impacted.

Weather is clearing here. Maybe some bits and pieces this afternoon...

Getting sketchy here now.

Dunolly just broke its Daily rainfall record (going back to 1881) - 96mm to 9am.

Quite a bit more incoming from the NE. Some embedded thunderstorms. One wild day...

Low seems to be centered over Swan Hill at present.

Already over 50mm. Strong Easterly winds, driving rain, and not very pleasant. Very much an 'indoors' day.

Some places approaching 100mm around Maryborough.

Wind is howling. Round two on the way from the Mallee...

25mm in first wave. More coming...

Feels quite cold outside. Now 14c after being 31c earlier this afternoon.

Some significant convection around here now. I think this evening could be... Interesting.

Gordon wrote: ↑Sat Dec 23, 2023 4:05 pm Cold fronts and warm fronts have now appeared on the BOM 4 dayer that weren't there yesterday. Lots of complexity.

Even an occluded front in the mix. Interesting.

I'm always overly cautious with these types of setups. BoM will get heavily criticised if it ends up being a mostly fine day. They're already in deep **** over the Cairns flood emergency. Years of cutbacks and "streamlining" is coming back to haunt them now. They need to come out with a p...

UKMet 12Z made me laugh this morning with 222mm forecast just to our West.

BOM WATL has 40mm which is more realistic. Christmas Day morning/lunchtime could be quite volatile. I've cleaned out the spouting around the house...

I'm at the point of modifying travel plans this Christmas Day due to the threat of severe storms unloading large rain quantities on our place.

Looking ominous. Thinking 30-80mm is possible here.