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VIC - Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30 2019

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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Macedonian »

I've taken an annual leave day today and happy to report that it is raining and cold and beautiful! First daylight rain i have seen here in such a long long long time.
6C and falling.
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hillybilly
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by hillybilly »

Just shy of 7mm here from that showery band. Models had 2-5mm so it over-performed. Month will finish on about 40mm, so about 40% of the average. There's been plenty of showers here this month, but again we are missing out on anything resembling a proper rain-band.

Next week still looks hopeful :D
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by flyfisher »

Looks like Otways rainshadow from here onwards unless the stream turns more southerly. Green drought.
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Didjman
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Didjman »

1.4 mm here with that band - best single fall for the year, and we are on the south face of the divide!!
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Tassiedave »

Latest GFS not keen anymore on widespread rain for Tas/Vic next week. Moves all the action to Sydney
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Skywalker »

Just shy of 6mm down here on the island according to the Rhyll station, with constant showers on & off.
Currently sitting on 12°C.

Meanwhile about 2mm back at the other place in the western desert. First recordable rain in weeks.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by hillybilly »

Tassiedave wrote: Fri Apr 26, 2019 10:32 am Latest GFS not keen anymore on widespread rain for Tas/Vic next week. Moves all the action to Sydney
GFSV3 has moved to be very keen for Victoria, while the older model (GFS2) has become less keen. Such are the wiggles of the models.

I tend to find EC is the least wiggly of the models, and it's also demonstrably the best. The high amplitude of the system worries me as these will cut off. If this happens too far west the heaviest rain will be north and west. In the right spot we will get a deluge. Too far east and it become a rain producer for the Tasman Sea.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Gordon »

3mm to 9am here plus 1mm since (every bit counts!)

Very wintery (top of 8C so far) with the wind verging on damaging with some cells.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Macedonian »

Daylight max of 7C here. It has dipped as low as 6C.
3mm here.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by snowfall »

4mm here this morning and today. Not huge but very welcome nonetheless. A chilly 8.6c currently, with a wind chill of 6c, after a max today of 12.6c. Nice little burst of winter.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by hillybilly »

Max of 9C for us today with frequent showers, but most light. Picked up 8mm so far. One ripper inbound that will get the southern parts of the Dandenongs and should be worth a couple more mms.

EC, GFS3 and CMC all keen on next week. Devil will be in the detail, but looks like the first proper statewide chance since December.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Normally you'd say it was a sprinkle
But OMG in today's forecast it's raining cats and dogs.. wellummmm.. yep.. it's wet..
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by hillybilly »

Just passed 10mm. Was expecting more like 5mm today so a bonus.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Didjman »

Australis(Shell3155) wrote: Fri Apr 26, 2019 8:00 pm Normally you'd say it was a sprinkle
But OMG in today's forecast it's raining cats and dogs.. wellummmm.. yep.. it's wet..
ROFL!!
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Adam38 »

It was nice to hear the rain on the roof this morning, had a couple of half decent showers this arvo too. I don’t like this cold weather already, 6 years living in Vic and still can’t stand it 😂
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Macedonian »

3.5C already, maybe some frost tomorrow?
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Didjman »

Min of 3c here. no frost
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by Macedonian »

2.8C overnight. Feels more like Autumn.
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by hillybilly »

12mm in the gauge. Should see a few showers spread inland tomorrow so chance to scrape a bit more before months end. MTD about 50mm for us so about half average, but better than most :?
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Re: Warm and dry weather rolls on: April 17-30?

Post by hillybilly »

4mm more in FC today. MTD is generally in the 40-70mm range across the Dandenongs so not a "disaster" in the end. No proper rain event for the month, just showers and drizzle but persistent enough to add up.
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