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Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by QldTwister »

Was on the storm near Merdith was great watching it go from high base to ground based very quickly alomost like in USA

Also was very green and just started to form the guster that brought the great show to much of SE Melbourne fun day

2 storm days in a row and 3 days in a row above 30c so good, hope there is weeks more of this weather next 4 nonths with lots more hot humid stormy days :D
Bring on the heat and stroms
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Pengaz »

Copped a strong storm here this evening, 11mm and many close lightning strikes. Lost power once.

Here’s a few pics of the gust front coming through ahead of the main cell. Had some pretty nasty squalls. Did have a tinge of green to it but the pics don’t do it justice.

Image

Image
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by hillybilly »

Cracking storm here. Didn’t last long but very welcome 10mm. Did even better at the near place with nearly 40mm around Howden :o

Glad not to get any hail. Winds were wild but again only brief so not much damage about :D
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Had a green tinge

Lots of great videos and photos on FB..

Didn’t get a chance to enjoy it due to home renovations,
But the washing on the line trick worked a Treat..
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Tassiedave »

Tas rain last 24 hrs: Kingston 35mm, Hobart 31mm, Hobart Airport 25mm, Mt Barrow 18mm, Legerwood 10mm, Launceston 4.6mm
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by windyrob »

From Olivers hill boat ramp. Amazing shelfie.

ImageOliviers hill storm 2nd Dec 21-3 by Robert Mitchell, on Flickr

ImageOliviers hill storm 2nd Dec 21-4 by Robert Mitchell, on Flickr
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Gordon »

Spectacular!
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Wilko »

Non stop action with GFS keen for deluge mainly Eastern Vic mid week
Plenty of wiggling with models but something is brewing :D
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Wilko »

Looks rather uneventful now
All the focus is on NSW instead going to get hammered
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by stevco123 »

Currently raining here in Cranbourne West. Big drops. But with sunshine.

Loving my 0% chance of rain today.

Thanks BoM. Luckily it looks to be very isolated and short-lived
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Petros »

Just noticed that EC is mooting 100+mm for Maffra on its latest run (not yet available on WZ). Something to monitor.

We got 136.25mm rain in November, but only 4mm since 27/11/21.
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Gordon »

Wilko wrote: Sat Dec 04, 2021 12:52 pm Looks rather uneventful now
All the focus is on NSW instead going to get hammered
But wait... crazy divergence 4 days out: for us, EC & ACCESS have us down for 40mm by Friday morning, GFS just 5mm.

Is it just me or have the models lost it lately?
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by StratoBendigo »

The forecast models have been clueless.

Anyway, things are drying out quickly here. Not really any rain in forecast. Cooler week coming up after today, but indications of a heatwave the week after. Something to watch.

The grain crops immediately North of Bendigo have mostly done very well.
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by stevco123 »

Thunder here...
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by stevco123 »

Now a heavy downpour. Big, big drops.
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Tempest »

One loud rumble that sounded like a boulder rolling across a tin roof, then nothing.
Storms were brewing up all around us but now they seem to be moving away.
Better luck later in the week maybe?
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by samboz »

Gordon - [/quote]
But wait... crazy divergence 4 days out: for us, EC & ACCESS have us down for 40mm by Friday morning, GFS just 5mm.
Is it just me or have the models lost it lately?
[/quote]

Just pulled these rainfall forecasts off Windy.com - https://www.windy.com/-Rain-accumulatio ... ccu,next3d
EC 3day-10.5 5day-42.2
GFS -30 -43
ICON -69 -191

It is fair to say the models are a little "lost it lately".
Last edited by samboz on Mon Dec 06, 2021 6:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by Petros »

Had a slow moving high based storm for 30 mins before, delivered 3mm. Perfect after a 26.5C day.

A follow up non stormy rain band has just set in.
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by StratoBendigo »

Cool and cloudy this morning. We had about 1mm yesterday evening. Not expecting any rain for the next 2 weeks.
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Re: Warm to hot with some showers and storms: November 29 to December 3

Post by weathergasm »

First appearance of the monsoon trough/ITCZ on the BOM synoptic chart for this storm season, a few hundred kilometres south of Java (then oscillating north in the next few days). Bring it on!👍

In some years Melbourne gets great flow on affects from the monsoon hitting the Australian mainland, and I suspect this year is going to be one of them.
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