Heavy rain for eastern Vic 8-11 December

[Gordon]

Time for a new thread with models lining up for good rain starting today for much of eastern Vic, grading to heavy for the far east.

We might get a bit more too, though not in eastern Vic's league .

[Mike]

Yep rain showers around already. Noteworthy chill in the air, despite showers and breeze got down to 5.2 here, after a period of sun its only 9 now.

Had 2.8mm till 11am yesterday from the night prior heavy shower mostly and 1.3mm till 9am today but one solid shower since then.

[Petros]

It was a very cold cloudy start to the day here, here is the present sattelite image:



perfect setup to form a cut off low somewhere near the Vic/NSW border sometime tonight.

[WeatherViewer]

Impressive heavy showers last night here in Truganina, started around Mid night on and off through the night. A little over 17mm in the last 24 hours!

[samboz]

One of the biggest local forecasts I have seen - eg, East Gipp/ORBOST Huge rain event if it comes off.
Expect dozens of road closures, land slips, P/H/way probably closed.
http://www.bom.gov.au/places/vic/orbost/

"Thu 9 DecForecast IconRainMin12 °CMax17 °CPrecisRain. Heavy falls.Possible rainfall:50 to 70 mmChance of any rain:100%
Fri 10 DecForecast IconRainMin12 °CMax16 °CPrecisRain. Possible heavy falls.Possible rainfall:70 to 100 mmChance of any rain:95%
Sat 11 DecForecast IconRainMin12 °CMax18 °CPrecisRain.Possible rainfall:5 to 25 mmChance of any rain:90% "

[snowfall]

15.2mm here since midnight and 22.6mm for the past two days. As others noted, it was very chilly this morning for the time of year with around 6c and heavy showers.

Showers are currently sweeping up through parts of west central and the eastern suburbs. Currently dry and partly cloudy here, but expecting some showers later.

[Sean]

Melbourne should see some rain tonight. 20mm in and around the east wouldn't surprise me.

[Sean]

Looks like it's edging south

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Horsham Dry.
Winter clothes on tho..
My plans of relocating goods alters with rain predicted..

[Mike]

15.5mm to 9am today, pretty windy and light rain resumed in the last 30 mins off and on

[snowfall]

18.8mm overnight with rain coming in from the south-east. It has just started up again here as well, mostly light to moderate.

[StratoBendigo]

It's blowing a 35kt gale from the Southeast this morning. What month is it? No rain at all as usual.

Looks quite toasty early next week...

[Adam38]

23mm at home, I’ve been up in Broken Hill and Mildura. Nice and green up at B.Hill with plenty of water lying around.

[snowfall]

A further 7.6mm today. Rained and off all day with a mixture of drizzle and a few heavier showers, which has mostly eased now. Might get a little more drizzle overnight but otherwise heading into a drier period.

MTD is already 78.5mm.

[Gordon]

27mm to 9am and a mm since; great system for us after all. Mtd 43.5mm

[Macedonian]

It is horribly windy here tonight. Is anyone else copping it?
Pouring rain as well. I've got well over 30mm in the gauge since Sunday.
The cold is starting to grate as well.
3.7 to 7.8 yesterday and
5.1 to 8.2 today.
Daylight temp didnt vary by more than one degree today.
It feels like winter.

[snowfall]

It is horribly windy here tonight. Is anyone else copping it?
Pouring rain as well. I've got well over 30mm in the gauge since Sunday.
The cold is starting to grate as well.
3.7 to 7.8 yesterday and
5.1 to 8.2 today.
Daylight temp didnt vary by more than one degree today.
It feels like winter.

A little windy here tonight but not too bad. Surprised to hear it’s really windy there - must be the elevation in this case. Or maybe the funnel effect with SE winds that Mike has spoken about up that way? We had a max here today of 12.2c, which is also not too far off winter temps. It all changes next week!

[Tassiedave]

Looks very hot at the end of next week.

[Petros]

Persistent heavy drizzle set in here on Wed night and continued through to last evening, we tallied a handy 31mm from it to take us to 42mm for this month so far.

Just a cool overcast day here today with light easterly. The baro here never varied off 1014-1015 hPa for this event/past 4 days.

Present situation:


A weak cutoff low. We might get a bit of drizzle tonight, but that's it for this event I feel for Nth Central Gippsland.

Royal Maffra is saturated, so the chance of getting through summer without irrigating fairways is still a plausible possibility, for the first time ever. Passing flow ex Lake Glenmaggie is coursing through the town midway between minor and moderate flood level at present.

[Petros]

Another 2mm from easterly drizzle this morning took us to 33mm for this event. Clouds cleared this arvo, for a sunny arvo with steady easterly breeze.