SNOW FALLS in NSW...Past and present

[crikey]

1964
Taken at Mt Franklin Chalet in the Brindabellas, July 1964. Image:: John Wanless/Traveller.com.au

http://www.mountainwatch.com/Snow-news/ ... ever-seen/


http://www.mountainwatch.com/wp-content ... Chalet.jpg

[Gordon]

Not a bad gain at Spencers Creek this week; now 122.3cm, which is a 77.8cm increase in 6 days and abruptly puts snow depth well ahead of last year.

[JasmineStorm]

Nice pic Crikey!

Well spotted Gordon with Spencer creek. Huge jump! Fascinating to observe if it can hit 2 metres again this year. That would be 3 years in a row, which has only been done once since records began in 1954 (years 1990, 1991 & 1992)...correct me if I'm wrong.

[JasmineStorm]

Spencer creek snow depth update: Now 140cm

[Gordon]

Spencer creek snow depth update: Now 140cm

Best depth this early since 2014.

[crikey]

A very promising snow bearing event on the cards, according to ACC g.
Firstly a very strong low centred very close to SW VIC and west Tasmania on wednesday the 7th and Thursday the 8th August. 2019.
ACC g has the low between 980hPa on wednesday and 972 on the thursday.
It is a moisture laden low forecast to give wide areas of precip' to SE OZ.
On the western flank a strong 1035hPa high .
This couplet should provide an excellent motor for this event. (mslp gradient 55hPa)
The colder air starts to arrive late wednesday over the alps and continues on until friday morning.
Coinciding with varying strengths of precip'
That gives the potential of 36 hrs of natural snow .
Thickness ranges from 544 down to 536 for this event.
I haven't looked at the alpine forecast for this event but surely it would be good.

[crikey]

BOM forecast for Perisher .,NSW alps for the next 7 days7th to 12th August 2019 is between 35 and 95cm of snow
So a chance for another metre.
....
To start
There is a precip’ signal over the alps wednesday night 7thAugust. This picture is for 10pm.
The rain signal extends northward into eastern NSW into thursday as the trough passes through
536 thickness for the alps all day thursday as this trough passes through.
with moisture availability
There is snow on the BOM forecast every day this week
Range 35cm to 95cm

http://www.bom.gov.au/places/nsw/perisher-valley/

[greysrigging]

Guyra and Black Mountain, end of June 1977

[crikey]

Great post 'greyrigging' thanks

Here is a snap of low level snow near Canberra
Corrin forest ACT
7th_ 8th August 2019
https://twitter.com/SNOWSEARCH_aus/stat ... 9273006081

https://twitter.com/i/status/1159265509273006081

[crikey]

Saturday 10th and sunday the 11th August

ACCG has 532 thickness over large areas of East NSW,right up to the NSW/QLD border .
Precip' signal intermittent during this time but better on sunday.
There ia a good 'donk in the engine' sending this old pool northwards with a mslp deviation of 52mhPa between an intense low in the Tasman and incoming high from the west.
Snow a possibilty in alps,canberra region, blue mountains, highlands, granite belt.

source
ACC Ghttp://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/ ... fresh+View

[JasmineStorm]

Looking forward to the Spencer creek recording this week Perisher now officially over the 3 foot storm mark for this last sequence.

[Gordon]

New Spencers Ck reading out today: 202.7cm; a gain of 77.5cm in a week.

Puts this ytd slightly ahead of 2018.

[JasmineStorm]

New Spencers Ck reading out today: 202.7cm; a gain of 77.5cm in a week.

Puts this ytd slightly ahead of 2018.

Incredible trend and equals the record for years in a row over the historical mean of 198cm. The first and last time there was 3 years in a row was 1990, 1991 & 1992. This will most likely put the decade mean level peak above 00's, 90's, 70's and go close to knocking off the 80's if it can keep going.

[Gordon]

Some impressive low level NSW snow this week too https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/augus ... 34/page-19; love the Sat pics & aerial 'snow near Tamworth' pic from Tuesday. That's been on the ground for a few days.

And the Tumut snowfall was pretty amazing; sub 300m: ttps://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-10/tumut-sn ... 1/11402184

[crikey]

'JS'..1991 was pinatuba eruption .
Makes you wonder if current volcanic activity across the globe these past few years has contributed to some better snow yields.

AAO still neg atm and has been since first week of July 2019
............
MORE?
Here is a snap showing the potential for monday 19th August 2019,10am at peak of cold pool.
I spy thickness down to 524 near Canberra, Perisher, Blue mountains, Oberon area
Broad band of 532 thickness across VIC and eastern NSW.
The cold pool moving away by tuesday but could be an impressive 24hr event for NSW.?
Only problem is that the main moisture band is in front of the cold pool but lots of time for that forecast to shift.

source
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/ ... fresh+View

[crikey]

East NSW. BOM forecasts indicating snow to 600-800m. In particular early hours monday morning, 19th August 2019

Jindabyne 915m
Cooma 800m
Orange is about 840m
Katoomba 1000m
Oberon 1100m

Guyra 1330m
http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml?ref=hdr

[Gordon]

This week's reading is in for Spencers Creek: 222.4cm - a 20cm gain and an almost identical reading to the same day last year!

Deep Creek is slightly down at 103.2cm. No update yet for Three Mile Dam.

[JasmineStorm]

This week's reading is in for Spencers Creek: 222.4cm - a 20cm gain and an almost identical reading to the same day last year!

Deep Creek is slightly down at 103.2cm. No update yet for Three Mile Dam.

As of today's reading, that now puts the 2010 to 2019 decade average peak at 193cm, which I now think (not 100%) just pips the 1980's and very close to the 1950's. Only the 50's and 60's had greater peaks in recorded history. The return of the snow dumps, great to see

The 70 year climatology suggests next year will see a drop. Anything over 2m though, will set a new record of 4 consecutive years over 2m.

[Gordon]

New reading yesterday of 228.8cm at Spencers Creek; more than last year's peak - and later.

Deep Creek down a tad at 94.6cm, although unfortunately this reading was taken on 28/8, so it would have missed the Wednesday/ Thursday snowfall top-up which Spencers Ck got.

[JasmineStorm]

Perisher have had so much of the white stuff, the official season is now going into mid Oct Great to see !!