VIC - Upper trough and weak front: July 28-30 2019

[Gordon]

Good to see the Dandenongs doing okay again!

Finished July on 70.5mm here, 18mm below average.

However our ytd of 466mm is 14mm ahead of average, thanks to very healthy falls in May and June. Still very wet around here with strong stream flows and many local water storages spilling.

[Dane]

Well it was a below average month Rainfall wise here with temperatures above average.
Had 59mm's this month while Ballarat Airport had 50mm's - Airport average is 66.6mm's for July.
Daytime temperatures were up by 0.9c at the Airport and nightime termperatures were 1.3c above average.
Not many frosts this month, Airport normally has 10 mornings during July with Mins under 2c in the Screen
which is indicitive of a ground frost but this month there was only one morning less than 2c.
Long term outlook by the BOM is calling for drier and warmer conditions than normal for the next 3 months.
But it seems to me it always says that and we had plenty of rain in May and June.

[Didjman]

Long term outlook by the BOM is calling for drier and warmer conditions than normal for the next 3 months.
But it seems to me it always says that and we had plenty of rain in May and June.

As discussed in the Climate Driver thread, the AAO has gone full negative (not to mention stratospheric heating over the Antarctic):
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... _ensm.html

Looking like a period of colder, wetter weather.

[Tassiedave]

Tas stats: Launceston July Rainfall 87.4mm, avge 80.2. Hobart July 46.6mm, avge 52.4. Strahan July 321.6mm avge 177.3, Swansea July 11.8mm avge 48mm

[StratoBendigo]

Another chilly day today. Just 11.5c max.

Looks like a thumping great cold front, with follow up fronts, is expected around August 8.

[hillybilly]

Bit of drizzle and fog up here overnight with 1mm. Has been quite cold the last two days here as that stubborn high stays to our west, with max of 7 and 8C.

Long term outlook by the BOM is calling for drier and warmer conditions than normal for the next 3 months.
But it seems to me it always says that and we had plenty of rain in May and June.

We’ve been lucky to be honest. Southern OZ has just seen its driest start to a year on record (just behind 1902) and OZ the hottest daytime temps for 12, 24 and 36 months periods. Looking at the progs, it looks cold and wet for us, but further inland will again probably miss out. The thread for next week looks like a good one with EC showing the best cold outbreak for a few years

[hillybilly]

Foggy and drizzly up here again. Just light - about half a mm - but keeps it ticking over. Looks similar for the remainder of today with locally a mm or two in southern Vic.

[hillybilly]

Foggy and drizzle here most of the day. Had nearly 5mm so far since emptying the gauge at ~8am. EC has 0mm, so doing well Looks like a front will push through in the next hour or two which should leave a fine or mostly fine Sunday.

[hillybilly]

7mm in the gauge this morning. Still foggy, but drizzle looks to be clearing. Not a bad fall for what looked like being a mostly fine day.