15mm in the gauge this morning with fog and rain continuing. Currently 3.3C so cold enough for sleet and perhaps the odd flake if we score a convective shower. Snow would be falling to around 600m given those numbers and settling to around 700m atm. Coldest air still an hour or two out so might drop a bit lower. One of those events where another degree colder would make a big difference (these events show why the Nongs used to get so much more snow
).
Cold wet windy 48 hours coming up. Initially we have cyclonic cold air advection, but this reverts to cyclonic warm air advection. Showers should transition to thick drizzle about 24 hours from now.
Expecting another 20-40mm here, so could crack 100mm for the event. Great event for charging the soil moisture and runoff
Sets us up with a decent chance for a wet May.
Looking forward to the snow photos from those who live a bit higher than me
Watching the surge to see how high it goes. This morning will likely get to around 1.2m in the bay, and 1.4 tonight. Unfortunately dark for the peak. Would expect waves onto the bike paths and back fences.
Btw citiy’s 4.8mm means it only need 3.2mm to equal the YTD record high. Should get that today. Stunning turnaround from last year when we had the driest start to a year on record. Record dry to record wet would be a crazy stat to score. Indian Ocean has flipped from a near record positive IOD to near record warm water off Australia (and pretty likely negative IOD).