Low in the Bight & Rain: Aug 11-15

[hillybilly]

Crazy storm here in the Dandenongs. Bucket loads of pea size hail which have completely blocked the gutters and drains. Water in sheets. Peak rainfall rate of 175mm/hr Gauge is full of ice, but so far about 15mm in the gauge.

Here's a video on twitter

[StratoBendigo]

Nothing here today. Doesn't want to rain or look like raining.

[hillybilly]

32mm here now. Still raining like crazy with hail

[snowfall]

Wow HB, that sounds intense.

I think we only scraped the edge of the main storm band, but picked up 6.2mm.

[Sean]

Holy moly, it's thumping down.

Lighting, hail and torrential rain

[Gordon]

32mm here now. Still raining like crazy with hail

Amazing! That'll help the monthly average .

All south of here but beautiful light show this evening from the Otway storms.

[hillybilly]

35mm here for today. Most fell in about 30 minutes. Crazy rainfall for winter. Still piles of hail in the garden.

Intense gradients. Along the narrow storm axis we scored 35mm and a gauge about 2km from me to the southeast scored 34mm, but drops away to less than 10mm about 2km to my southwest Is a string of totals in the 20 to 30mm range from around Ringwood to about Belgrave. The southern Dandenongs do very well in unstable nwly steering as the range causes frictional convergence which builds as convection slides south.

Tomorrow arvo looks unstable again, then a showery Sunday. Another big system for next week which could bring low level snow in about a week. Is going to be sustainable falls, locally north of 100mm, so could start to see flooding issues if we get on the upper end. We are now mighty close to our annual average now.

EDIT> Just added up our YTD. On 1150mm. Need about 150mm to get to our average. Could well pick up 50-100mm next ten days, so not entirely out of the question that we might get there by start of a September.

[QldTwister]

Wow HB that is very impressive, very tight gradients today, yeah you likely be over 100mm by next Saturday including today, will be very wet in the Dandys by next weekend just in time for spring floods,

6mm today about 10mm for the week, should get 20 to 30mm next week

Widespread rain in NSw atm and could be wet again in east gippy

Lots of fronts next week and getting colder NE, SW, East of Melb and West and South Gippy will do best as always in these set ups
Easy 30 to 50mm with isol 80 to 100mm for the week in wet spots

Could see 10-12 days of recorded rain in a row in Melb surely that dont happen to much

Active end to winter should be fun

[StratoBendigo]

Not sure what happened here over the past 2 days. Forecast rain for Thursday-Friday didn't eventuate. And looking at satpic, no more.

Very fickle. Hopefully next week can deliver.

[hillybilly]

Not sure what happened here over the past 2 days. Forecast rain for Thursday-Friday didn't eventuate. And looking at satpic, no more.

Very fickle. Hopefully next week can deliver.

Might be a chance today. There will be showers and storms through the western third of Vic, likely to be slow moving with steering out of the south. Further showers turning to rain out in Gippsland. Central sorta stuck in between. Might get something or not. There is quite general instability today, particularly across the north.

Will start a thread for next week which looks big.

Finished on just shy of 36mm yesterday. Was thinking perhaps 5mm going into the day, so complete surprise Thread just north of 40mm. Might get a mm or 10 today. Thinking at least 10mm here tomorrow as a deep moist swly flow spins up on the western side of the deepening low.

[StratoBendigo]

Cloudless skies. No sign of rain again. Sigh.

[stevco123]

Cutting the grass outside, coincidentally looked to my south east and saw this...

[StratoBendigo]

There is some instability. But it all feels too dry and the clouds are too sparse for anything substantial. Boring.

[Dane]

No rain here at all in the last 36 hours. Sky looking a bit lumpy though
so may get a shower later about 50-50 I think.
Next week looks better. MTD is 28.5mm's Monthly Ave is 74mm's so
were struggling a bit.

[StratoBendigo]

Now 17c. September weather. At least Wednesday onwards looks rather wintry.

[snowfall]

2.8mm here today with a period of rain in the early afternoon. Sun is out and 12c currently. The showers that are developing are moving very slowly.

[flyfisher]

Downpour here, right under the little red dot on the radar. Won the weather lottery today. 8mm.

[hillybilly]

Downpour here, right under the little red dot on the radar. Won the weather lottery today. 8mm.

Drove through that on a quick dash to the shops. We got the edge in Ferny Creek with 3mm. Classic spring day for us with cloud, brilliant sun then a thundery shower. Now have thick fog.

Tomorrow looks wet for much of southern Vic as winds go swly on the backside of the low.

[hillybilly]

Foggy and trying to rain here this morning. Looks like a showery day ahead.

[hillybilly]

Heavy falls just to the near east of me this morning, with falls of 15-20mm. Just starting to get under the bands proper here now.

Btw not Vic, but check out the insane tornado warned pyro Cb in California. They are in a record heatwave, which has days to run. Terrible situation for them. Lots of photos of the tornado on social media That’s it in the middle of this shot.