Can we bring this thread back to life!?
It's quite hard to look towards the next significant rain event when there is no rain in any of the models - ACCESS, GFS and EC all show bugger all for the next week or so. A few minor fronts passing by but only bringing dribbles. Looks like an ECL of sorts around Wednesday, but mostly affecting the NSW coastal region. The GFS longer term progs don't look much better either, with only very weak fronts scratching the region, it has most of Victoria less than 2-5mm for the next two weeks. The SOI hasn't been too flash either which could correlate to why we're seeing some of this drier weather now.
I am liking the look of some of the climate models though. Most are suggesting we could be transitioning by the latter part of the year (August/September) into a La Nina, and the IOD could also shift negative around that time which would be an added bonus.
I guess overall no good rainfall on the horizon, but hope in the longer-term. Hopefully an Autumn break arrives soon though, many areas really struggling at the moment.