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VIC - Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May 2019

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weathergasm
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by weathergasm »

Looking the obs it appears the surface convergence is in Melbourne’s outer east, not to the west of Geelong. What am I missing?
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by StratoBendigo »

Not really anything since 9am here. All over for us I reckon.
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by JasmineStorm »

weathergasm wrote: Thu May 02, 2019 5:13 pm Looking the obs it appears the surface convergence is in Melbourne’s outer east, not to the west of Geelong. What am I missing?
There is a 2nd convergence at 1.5km above the surface moving west across the bay at the moment. It's on the other side of the main show. Cell line starting to appear east of Caulfield now near the Dandenongs.
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by WeatherViewer »

weathergasm wrote: Thu May 02, 2019 5:13 pm Looking the obs it appears the surface convergence is in Melbourne’s outer east, not to the west of Geelong. What am I missing?
Me too, confused on that one. Jasmine what are we missing?
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by JasmineStorm »

WeatherViewer wrote: Thu May 02, 2019 5:39 pm
weathergasm wrote: Thu May 02, 2019 5:13 pm Looking the obs it appears the surface convergence is in Melbourne’s outer east, not to the west of Geelong. What am I missing?
Me too, confused on that one. Jasmine what are we missing?

more may develop
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by hillybilly »

Quick 6mm from the convergence. Our AWS about a km away scored nearly 10mm so tight gradients. Locally near 20mm now :D

Looks like another 10-20mm next two days for us so a handy fall. City seriously out of luck with just ~4mm :o
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Rivergirl »

Absolutely belting down near Bright. Would love to know the rain rate. Sheet lightning all the time
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Macedonian »

That sounds like the place to be Rivergirl.
How are the autumn colours up in Bright?
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Rivergirl »

Lol Macedonian 😊. Colours at Bright are just beautiful
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by JasmineStorm »

I see a couple of gauges near Bright scored over 100mm
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Macedonian »

Rivergirl wrote: Thu May 02, 2019 11:35 pm Lol Macedonian 😊. Colours at Bright are just beautiful
I bet! What a combo, colours and heaps of rain. I love it up there.
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Tassiedave »

Rain overnight: Launceston Airport 26mm, Launceston 23mm, Mt Victoria 23mm, Low Head 20mm, Sheffield 11mm, Hobart 1.6mm
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Rivergirl »

Thanks JS. It’s been unbelievable here all night with the rain 😱
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by JasmineStorm »

The BoM are looking into the possible tornado in the SW on Wednesday evening. Plenty of divided opinion on the subject as there always is when its darks.

Also Occluded posted a news article earlier on this subject.

During Wednesday evening there was clear rotation on the doppler Melbourne 128 km radar in several locations indicating the atmosphere was ripe for such a tornadic event. Here was a post from earlier in the thread when Didjman spotted a clear rogue Mesocyclone on Doppler.
JasmineStorm wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 7:45 pm
Didjman wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 7:40 pm whats that on Doppler between Lara and SheOaks?? Aberation??
Mesocyclone signature in my opinion. Radar showing a developing dangerous cell near Avalon on that Doppler signature. BoM have a STW on that cell now.
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by jimmyay »

I flew up to Brisbane last night through some horrendous weather. Here’s our diversion track - we departed Mel at 19:00 - earlier flight was cancelled due to bad weather

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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by JasmineStorm »

JasmineStorm wrote: Fri May 03, 2019 9:08 am The BoM are looking into the possible tornado in the SW on Wednesday evening. Plenty of divided opinion on the subject as there always is when its darks.

Also Occluded posted a news article earlier on this subject.

During Wednesday evening there was clear rotation on the doppler Melbourne 128 km radar in several locations indicating the atmosphere was ripe for such a tornadic event. Here was a post from earlier in the thread when Didjman spotted a clear rogue Mesocyclone on Doppler.
JasmineStorm wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 7:45 pm
Didjman wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 7:40 pm whats that on Doppler between Lara and SheOaks?? Aberation??
Mesocyclone signature in my opinion. Radar showing a developing dangerous cell near Avalon on that Doppler signature. BoM have a STW on that cell now.
BOM's going with a non super cell tornado
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hillybilly
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by hillybilly »

Foggy raining morning in the Dandenongs with 2mm so far. Looks quite wet today in southern parts (well apart from the usual dry spots) with SWly winds and warm air advection kicking in.

Progs holding a couple of cracking fronts for next week. New thread time :)
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by stevco123 »

9mm so far this morning, more than Thursday morning's, as expected
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Skywalker »

This whole event has been yet another fizzer for my area here in the desert. Just 5mm early Thursday morning and not a drop since. :x
Extremely frustrating.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
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Re: Major upper and surface lows 1 - 5 May

Post by Sean »

Skywalker wrote: Sat May 04, 2019 10:33 am This whole event has been yet another fizzer for my area here in the desert. Just 5mm early Thursday morning and not a drop since. :x
Extremely frustrating.
Melbourne did poorly that's for sure. Geelong did ok but its YTD is still bad.

I got 15mm by the end of it. Not huge, but 10mm + is very satisfying.

Hopefully your turn comes by the end of the week.
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