Trough then east coast low: June 15-20

[hillybilly]

Next system approaching. This ones a bit different peaking over northern and western areas, before it weakens and a new east coast low develops out in the Tasman Sea. Decent falls north of the divide, and should be good falls in western Vic. North needs an event so good to see.

Fortunately not much wind this time.

Not a particularly cold system but should be a bit of snow, but confined to the higher elevations.

[StratoBendigo]

Drizzly old day today. Classic misty June day North of the Divide before the incoming cold front makes its presence known tomorrow. Probably looking at 10-15mm all up this week. That's been what we've been getting most weeks since mid-May.

[Petros]

Latest SatIR shows that the "peaking phase" looks promising for areas in Vic that desperately need rain:



Hope this delivers for NW and Nth Central Vic tomorrow.

Still cleaning up tree damage here at Royal Maffra 6 days after the storm. Not whining, ...the works underway in Sth Gippsland and the Dandenongs add a new dimension to the phrase "clean-up"!

[weathergasm]

Total Totals on latest Melbourne Skew-T at 53, so a bit of conditional instability about central areas

[hillybilly]

A few spits out here on a mild June day. Popped up to 11C which is a couple of degrees above average here. System looks pretty good for the north and west. Looks like a miss for central. Thankfully not much wind, as the big clean up continues in the Yarra Ranges and central ranges.

[hillybilly]

Radar looks good this morning, though fading as it comes over the range. Also, lots of bright banding so not as intense as it looks. Nice top up falls in the north.

Progs look very ho hum after this. Long mild spell.

[StratoBendigo]

Half-an-Inch (12.5mm) in the gauge this morning.

Groundhog Day vibes this winter...

[Gordon]

6mm here, though we were rain-shadowed; much more just a little to the north & west. Still, puts us past our June average (75.5mm vs 77.5mm mtd) so I'll take that!

[Mike]

12.5mm here till 9am

[snowfall]

10.2mm here overnight, which is a bit more than I expected. MTD = 83mm.

[StratoBendigo]

Incidentally, a nice looking rain-band has been delivering good rains to much of the Wimmera this afternoon. Horsham has had 10mm so far on top of the 9mm they got last night. Perfect for them!

I doubt it will make it here. Maybe a few more mm tonight?

[QldTwister]

Great to see 4 to 8mm for many farming areas last night in the West and North and the wrap around in the Wimmera is doing wonders im sure with another 10-20mm shame can't move it into the Mallee too.

More rain next 2 days in north and west patchy but still should be another 3-8mm which will only help things out there and then hopefully more mid to late next week.

4mm here overnight but things are wet, damp, soaked and green so ok for us to miss the rain for awhile

Looking forward to mostly sunny strech Sun through Wed next week but sure low cloud in the way some days lol

[hillybilly]

Finished on 4mm yesterday. Very light shower overnight with another 0.2mm.

Low is now consolidating in the Tasman Sea. Will push strong winds and big waves onto the east coast including Gippsland, with showers tending to rain as you go east (particularly later today and tomorrow).

Awesome to see those fall in the northern country and Wimmera. Been a dry start for croppers, but picking up

Looks like another mild low for next week. Tis starting to feel like a negative IOD winter with lots of fairly mild lows. Vic southern ski resorts are looking pretty lean, though as you go north it gets better thanks to the system last week.

[Tassiedave]

Tas rain last 24 hrs: Maria Island 46m, Friendly Beaches 41mm, St Helens 33mm, Smithton 30mm, Scottsdale 28mm, Launceston 11mm

[Mike]

Just 1mm last night, Very soggy ground on my walk this morning.

[StratoBendigo]

A cold day here today. Just 10.8 degC. 15mm so far this week.

GFS looks quite wet for this time next week.

[Tassiedave]

Tas rain since 9am: Little Swanport 62mm, Triabunna 45mm, Dunalley 35mm,Tunnack 21mm,Friendly Beaches 18mm, Hobart 15mm

[snowfall]

0.8mm overnight here and a max of 10.9c today. Really enjoying the calm wind this week Expecting maybe a couple of mms here tomorrow.

I’ve been watching the SST anomalies in the Indian Ocean, which have so far been trending quite nicely in support of a negative IOD. Northwest cloud bands have been popping up quite often too, so hopefully it continues and establishes a self-reinforcing pattern to deliver regular rain as we head further into winter and spring.

[QldTwister]

Patchy showers again in west Vic but widespread rain more so in SA and NSW

Getting almost excited about the low next week classic widespread multiple state soaking rain band, think have to go back to 2016 since last saw a low like that deep slow moving with strong tropical link dropping widespread 15-30mm for many inland areas and cropping zones would be excellent news for the cropping areas of SA and Vic.

Soaking seeping cold today long few months ahead lol is it October yet lol.

4mm so far this week maybe few more tomorrow then all about mid late next week

[hillybilly]

Central areas managing to split everything atm. Cool calm 8C here yesterday and today looks similar, though winds will freshen from the south. Some shower, but tending to be focussed in the west and east. Good falls locally in those areas.

Nice and quite mild weekend. Usually the type of pattern that delivers frosts, but low levels are pretty damp and uppers quite mild. Probably more grey gloom or fog.

Another long lived low for next week. Tis starting to feel like a negative IOD winter