Warm and humid with showers and storms: Late December to early January

[Timster]

Here's the Clunes storm cell taken from Scarsdale

Clunes Storm from Scarsdale 2022-01-02.jpg (1021.27 KiB) Viewed 1730 times

[Didjman]

Satpic looking pretty good too:

http://satview.bom.gov.au

[Gordon]

Dancing all around us but hardly a drop. Very dark echos from the Ballan/ Bacchus Marsh storm. Good chance for greater Melbourne to get a decent storm or two.

[James]

it looks like it really tried to send one towards melb but it look like its gone north, nothing here out in the east suburbs just very sunny and hot!

[stevco123]

Dancing all around us but hardly a drop. Very dark echos from the Ballan/ Bacchus Marsh storm. Good chance for greater Melbourne to get a decent storm or two.

Nah, maybe the outer north, but that's it

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Few posts to go back and read,…

This was interesting reading I’ve just noticed….

Bendigo ppls's.


VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce giant hailstones, intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding and damaging winds over the next several hours near Maryborough, Castlemaine and Bendigo. Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding, damaging winds and large hailstones over the next several hours in parts of the Central, Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, South West and Wimmera districts. Locations which may be affected include Bendigo, Maryborough, Castlemaine, Kyneton, Daylesford and Bacchus Marsh.
Current status Warning

[Adam38]

Nice storm here in Bacchus, 10mm and a lot of loud booming thunder.

[Supercellimpact]

Few posts to go back and read,…

This was interesting reading I’ve just noticed….

Bendigo ppls's.


VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce giant hailstones, intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding and damaging winds over the next several hours near Maryborough, Castlemaine and Bendigo. Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding, damaging winds and large hailstones over the next several hours in parts of the Central, Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, South West and Wimmera districts. Locations which may be affected include Bendigo, Maryborough, Castlemaine, Kyneton, Daylesford and Bacchus Marsh.
Current status Warning

Fingers crossed

[snowfall]

Almost continuous thunder here for that last 45 minutes or so, with a very dark sky. Some good lightning flashes too.

We're on the edge of what looks like some intense rainfall to our west. Don't think it will do too much here unless there's more development. 2mm so far. The temp has also cooled to 19c.

[stevco123]

So frustrating...

[Dane]

Storms to the north and now to the east of me since 3pm, Lightning tracker has reported 14 strikes
but only heard one rumble just after 5.30pm to the East.
The other ones were too far away to hear, no rain at all.
Max was a very humid 31.6c at my place in Sebastopol dew point hit 20.1c at 3pm
No idea what the Official Max was today as that Ballarat AWS is still down after 81 hours. ???

[Gordon]

Just when it seemed everything was going to be north and east of us, finally had a storm build out of nowhere for a direct hit - 14mm in 20 minutes, including marble-sized hail.

Non-stop thunder but no lightning seen, so must have been CC. Good thing, as I was very busy saving the driveway & roof gutters!

Very strange system - storm was preceded by a cool southerly, but now very steamy and still.

[StratoBendigo]

Yeah, decent storm just now. Reports of hail 10km South of here. Total rainfall today now at 16mm.

And no power.

[James]

Well i gave up and went out and watered the garden which was very dry despite the short downpour last night.

Def seem to miss out on the storms here, so many to the north and central just how i remember it when i lived up that way long ago

seem to be under all the anvil and muck here, friend is still waiting for the rain and storms and is refusing to water the garden tonight as they say its still coming

[Supercellimpact]

Massive hail here in Bendigo. Maybe 5 cent piece size

[StratoBendigo]

5-6cm diameter hail reported at Cotswold near Maryborough this afternoon.

[Supercellimpact]

5-6cm diameter hail reported at Cotswold near Maryborough this afternoon.

I’m in Epsom we got about that.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Looked promising all day..

[weathergasm]

Once I saw that trough creeping up the bay in the morning I was pretty sure it was over for the metro area. It was just a few hours too early unfortunately.

I don’t blame the BoM for being pretty bullish about storms given the values the sounding was giving, I’m assuming the trough’s weird S-shape over the state didn’t help matters for forecasters (particularly when the northern part of the trough barely seemed to move at all but the southern part of the trough was moving with some speed).

Melbourne has always required everything to come together just right for good storms. When we get these humid air masses (uncommon) we also need good heating (not so rare) and a well-timed forcing mechanism (rare). It seems to me that most “fail” days are due to the timing of the troughs/fronts - a little too early or too late and it all fizzles to nothing. Today Ringwood didn’t even get a shower (although we did get an alright light show late last night). That’s what you get for living in an oceanic, rain-shadowed climate with arid influences I suppose - we don’t have a lot of days with the kind of deep moisture required for storms, so we get relatively few rolls of the dice each year.

Oh well, if we didn’t have all these near misses we wouldn’t enjoy it as much when the atmosphere does decide to cooperate

[Wilko]

Monsoon Trough Wow

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5