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Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Wed Mar 29, 2023 5:01 pm
by StratoBendigo
stevco123 wrote: Wed Mar 29, 2023 1:46 pm So are we calling it an autumn break yet?
In many (but not all) parts of Victoria - yes.

00Z GFS is throwing up a pretty big system involving an inland cut-off Low that could dump a lot of rain across the State around Good Friday....

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Wed Mar 29, 2023 6:35 pm
by Petros
After a hot and muggy 30C yesterday, evening storms brewed around Nth Central Gippsland which preceded a misty period into the night, then steady rain set in late at night and persisted till early arvo here. We missed rain from last evening's storms, but the rain period delivered an amazing 58mm here. So after 20mm over the previous fortnight, yep, we have certainly got our Autumn break in this area.

Signs of a low pressure system to come into play circa next Tuesday to me, ....something to watch as that would lead to light flooding after the good rains up on the divide in the Macalister catchment past 24hrs.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Wed Mar 29, 2023 8:21 pm
by Australis(Shell3155)
Was shorts to start the day, then multiple layers as evening approached.

21mm, yes noticed little patches as grass (weeds) sprouting in driveway,
Crunchy disappeared quickly.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Thu Mar 30, 2023 6:06 am
by Australis(Shell3155)
Another 20mm on top of that 21.
Tank will be filling up.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Thu Mar 30, 2023 6:36 pm
by hillybilly
That developing ECL almost got here then hit a brick wall. Would be well north of 100mm today over the east Australian current. Locally close to 50mm in very eastern parts of Tas. 0.2mm here.

Fantastic falls for central and eastern vic which is good to see. Been lucky with the highs locally way south the last week with big cutoffs. Active eastern Indian Ocean is clearly feeding this recurring pattern.

Quite strong front coming up tonight and tomorrow which will put some light snow onto the alps on the mainland and peaks down here. Then a nice weekend.

Another big system next week just in time of Easter. Jumping all over the place in the progs, so hard to know exactly where and when :?

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Thu Mar 30, 2023 8:42 pm
by Pengaz
I tipped out 40mm late this afternoon for rain since yesterday morning. Autumn is officially here and it’s finally cooling off.

After an initial period of heavy rain yesterday morning (which I missed due to working in the city) which appeared to deliver the first half of the rain, we had our favoured south westerly exposure kick in with regular stream showers, heavy at times, establishing during the night and continuing throughout this morning. Was largely clear during the afternoon, but we’re still getting the odd drizzly shower.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Fri Mar 31, 2023 1:49 pm
by Pengaz
A further 8mm to this morning since last post.

Have Still been getting regular misty/drizzly/light showers throughout the day. New band of heavier showers approaching from the SW.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Fri Mar 31, 2023 5:45 pm
by Gordon
stevco123 wrote: Wed Mar 29, 2023 1:46 pm So are we calling it an autumn break yet?
I am now! Our '0-3mm' forecast for today is up to 7.5mm so far, making 34mm for the week. Local farmers regard the break as a one inch (25mm) fall between St Patricks Day and Anzac Day. Greening up nicely.

(PS: That low late next week is looking impressive on several charts.)

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Fri Mar 31, 2023 8:35 pm
by stevco123
Disappointed with that front.

1.2mm.

Can't win them all i suppose, but definitely expectes more going by the radar.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Sat Apr 01, 2023 12:18 am
by snowfall
A good result here, with 20mm. And well above the forecast.

Currently 8.1c, so quite a cool evening and heading for a cool day tomorrow. Summer has gone.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Sat Apr 01, 2023 7:37 am
by Didjman
Just tipped out another 8mm so around 30mm for the event. Glad not to be going away next weekend!

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Sat Apr 01, 2023 8:02 pm
by Macedonian
Very cold start to April at Mt Macedon.
4.5°min to 7.7°max today. June temps in April.

Re: Complex cut off low with rain and storms:March 26-31

Posted: Sun Apr 02, 2023 4:28 am
by Australis(Shell3155)
Didjman wrote: Sat Apr 01, 2023 7:37 am Just tipped out another 8mm so around 30mm for the event. Glad not to be going away next weekend!
New thread for Easter ?
Have the option to escape Melb only if weather’s good.

Happy to see 27c during this week.