This system has been downgrading with each model run
Looks like 10mm here now, when some of the earlier runs has more than 50mm.
System peaks over southwest Tasmania then northeast Tasmania and Bass Strait. Theres the rainband today on the upper trough then a secondary low develop for later tomorrow.
Christmas Day looks a bit interesting. Some suggestions of a strong cold outbreak down here with a low forming. EC has had it cold enough for snow on the mountain. More marginal for VIC. We had a bit of graupel on the mountain on Saturday when I hiked across the top, but didn’t see any proper snow.
Btw crazy crazy system up in North Queensland. So many records broken. Bit hard to compare flood peaks since the landscape has changed and there are some new dams, but certainly an extraordinary event. Quite possible broken the highest 12 hour rainfall total for any time of year for any place in Queensland. Damage bill is going to be very bad. Flood insurance is getting very expensive or impossible to get, so be so much impact on people